kermischocolate wrote:Oldschool wrote:
It's a truism.
It's not relevant to the decision whether or not to lift restrictions except in terms of estimating the risk.
Our Taoiseach stated yesterday that people (I Ireland)
are 150 times more likely to die from COVID19 if they are over 70 years of age.
He said people under the age of 9 have died, that is almost unbelievable.
So policy should and is aimed at protecting the over 70s.
The real consideration then is simply this.
Will more than 9 people if restrictions are not lifted?
A lot more is the likely answer and that's before you even start to factor in the misery and everything else.
So remarks that are simply of the high moral ground variety add nothing to solving the problem and they make it even more difficult for the politicians to actually try to address the problem.
Well given I've spent the last few weeks speaking to hundreds of people with the virus and who have had multiple relatives die from it, watch my colleagues go to work not knowing if they are going to catch it or not, stressed and distressed by the numbers of people dying and are under pressure to return to work when they are still symptomatic, forgive me if i couldn't care less about how people are bored or inconvenienced or have had enough of lockdown.
So take your "high moral ground" and shove it. You can't simply isolate an age group.
I think you can and in this case you have to isolate an age group (of whom I count myself one) otherwise more lives will be lost and medical staff will come under even more pressure.
The high moral ground I'm talking about is to take the simple and obvious option of locking down the country indefinitely because otherwise people will die.
Doing nothing will mean death in the literal sense not just the economic sense.
The most obvious thing to do (as I see it) is to get a handle on the number of active cases in the country using tried and trusted sampling techniques.
Armed with that information the people making the decisions can make informed decisions.
Not only is this not being done it's being resisted, I simply don't understand this because we have the testing capacity to do it now.
There is disagreement regarding wearing face masks. The wearing of face masks should (and it seems likely this will happen, at last) be enthusiastically recommended.
The fear early on that demand for face masks would mean a shortage of supply meant that people were advised that the wearing of masks was unnecessary.
That decision cost some lives but it saved an awful lot more lives as I'm certain you understand.
A choice had to be made and it was the correct decision.
Other choices, a lot more complex, because cause and effect isn't immediate will also have to made.
There is only one way forward and it involves taking risks in a very controlled way. Doing nothing is not an option, it simply isn't.